Jan Zilinsky

Ph.D. candidate | Department of Politics, New York University
Graduate Research Associate | NYU Center for Social Media and Politics

My research analyzes how political competition is shaped and constrained by public opinion. Because voters’ beliefs are influenced by the media, economic events, and political parties, my ongoing work at the Center for Social Media and Politics zooms in on voters’ knowledge and media consumption with surveys augmented with digital trace data.


Don’t Republicans Tweet Too? Using Twitter to Assess the Consequences of Political Endorsements by Celebrities
Perspectives on Politics, 2020. With Vaccari, C., Nagler, J. & Tucker, J. A.
PDF | Monkey Cage summary

Democratic deconsolidation revisited: Young Europeans are not dissatisfied with democracy
Research & Politics, 2019.
PDF (open-access)

How Many People Live in Political Bubbles on Social Media? Evidence from Linked Survey and Twitter Data
Sage Open, 2019. With Gregory Eady, Jonathan Nagler, Andrew Guess, and Joshua Tucker
PDF (open-access) | Summaries: Pacific Standard, Main chart

The Happiness Gap in Eastern Europe
Journal of Comparative Economics, 2016. With Simeon Djankov and Elena Nikolova
PDF | Summary: Financial Times blog | Ungated SSRN & OSF pre-prints

Working Papers

The Divided (But Not More Predictable) Electorate: A Machine Learning Analysis of Voting in American Presidential Elections.
Paper with Seo-young Silvia Kim.
Pre-print | Code on Github | MPSA Slides

Geographic Boundaries Matter for Views of the Economy: Evidence from Administrative Data and Subjective Economic Evaluations. Under Review.
Paper with James Bisbee.

Work in progress

What Matters to Voters? Examining Micro-Level and Macro-Level Drivers of Citizens’ Economic and Life Evaluations.
Paper with James Bisbee. [Preliminary results]

What People Learn From Twitter: Evidence from a Panel Survey Combined with Direct Observation of Social Media Activity.
Paper with Greogy Eady, Richard Bonneau, Joshua Tucker and Jonathan Nagler.
[Summary of results: MPSA Slides]

Predicting Economic Evaluations
[A methodological summary]

What the Academic Literature Tells Us about the Trump Victory

Between 2016 and early 2021, I collected a list of relevant papers.

Short articles

My papers can also be found on Google Scholar.